Comments on: How long will marriage last? http://www.myownthoughts.com/2007/02/10/how-long-will-marriage-last/ One woman's written responses to the world around her. Mon, 16 Jan 2012 16:27:34 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Ironman http://www.myownthoughts.com/2007/02/10/how-long-will-marriage-last/comment-page-1/#comment-46048 Ironman Thu, 15 Feb 2007 02:24:40 +0000 http://www.myownthoughts.com/2007/02/10/how-long-will-marriage-last/#comment-46048 You can see the math equation that the tool is based on at Garth Sundem's old blog site (there's a link from the post for the tool.) For the record, Garth's equation only approximates what's found in actual statistical data (you can't, for instance, have a probability of anything greater than 100%.) What your results suggest though is that you're very near that point! Since the data upon which Garth built and tested the formula is provided by the Centers for Disease Control for all Americans, it's likely that the lower results you saw for the later years in your marriage are being affected by mortality rates (as an example, a 20 year old male has roughly a 1 in 6 chance of dying before reaching the age of 65.) In any case, I hope this answers some of your questions! You can see the math equation that the tool is based on at Garth Sundem’s old blog site (there’s a link from the post for the tool.)

For the record, Garth’s equation only approximates what’s found in actual statistical data (you can’t, for instance, have a probability of anything greater than 100%.) What your results suggest though is that you’re very near that point!

Since the data upon which Garth built and tested the formula is provided by the Centers for Disease Control for all Americans, it’s likely that the lower results you saw for the later years in your marriage are being affected by mortality rates (as an example, a 20 year old male has roughly a 1 in 6 chance of dying before reaching the age of 65.)

In any case, I hope this answers some of your questions!

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